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My Predictions

Will Hubdub flame out by end of 2008?

Current forecast: 9% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 9% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Note to investors: You may want to keep a close eye on this market :-)
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
9%
No
91%
Activity: H$33,320
Question suspends in 11 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: A flame out is defined as Hubdub ceasing trading. If this were to happen, my last acts as CEO would be to settle this market as YES, update the leader board and then turn off the lights.

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 12am PST (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 15th Jan 7:05pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:49pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: A flame out is defined as Hubdub ceasing trading. If this were to happen, my last acts as CEO would be to settle this market as YES, update the leader board and then turn off the lights.... read all

 

Predictions (41)

41 predictions

4 days ago
mork[Power User] predicted No (H$1,000 at 91%)
2 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted No (H$20 at 90%)
13 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$5,000 at 92%)
20 weeks ago
epicur predicted No (H$10,000 at 84%)
26 weeks ago
epicur predicted No (H$200 at 74%)
more

Comments (7)

  1 thisbee81
A clear case of insider trading - anyone who invests or is intimately involved in the company will know how much capital hubdub has to burn through and how long the burn will take.
posted 38 weeks ago
  2 donal[Admin]
Call the SEC!
posted 38 weeks ago
  3 jimt
re: flameout: having a bad day are we? <g>
posted 38 weeks ago
If HubDub goes down the pan, will the Government guarantee that all our H$ will be safe?
posted 38 weeks ago
  5 thisbee81
How's the ad revenue coming? Has there been any market research in to how interested the US market is in prediction markets? How is this going to work as a news service? How did you get backing for this thing?
posted 38 weeks ago
What a lot of questions - you sound like you want to invest!
posted 38 weeks ago
No, it will not flame out, as long as Nigel stays away from those darn elevators. <g>
posted 29 weeks ago

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