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Wikia v Mahalo: Who will prevail in 2008?

Current forecast: Mahalo (59% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Mahalo with a probability of 59% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Wikia is ahead but Mahalo is gaining fast: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/wikia.com+mahalo.com/?metric=uv
 
Forecast history, %
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Wikia
41%
Mahalo
59%
Activity: H$3,073
Question suspends in 11 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: Winner will be decided using the December 2008 People Count figures from Compete (www.compete.com). You can track them here:
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/wikia.com+mahalo.com/?metric=uv

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Wikia: 40%, Mahalo: 60%

Action history:

Created Wed 23rd Jan 3:35pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Edited Thu 6th Mar 12:37pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: Winner will be decided using the December 2008 People Count figures from Compete (www.compete.com). You can track them here: ... read all

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

1 day ago
evanp predicted Wikia (H$20 at 41%)
26 weeks ago
orccc predicted Wikia (H$20 at 41%)
27 weeks ago
justdave predicted Mahalo (H$100 at 59%)
28 weeks ago
coleman predicted Wikia (H$100 at 40%)
30 weeks ago
snipergirl predicted Mahalo (H$20 at 61%)
more

Comments (2)

Jimmy Wales and Jason Calacanis can both talk tough (http://www.buzzmachine.com/2008/01/21/dld-wales-v-calacanis/) but who's going to be top dog?
posted 37 weeks ago
Note: Wikia was founded in 2004 and it has tons of cool Wikia's around topics like Star Wars and other geek pursuits. They should be way ahead of us!
posted 36 weeks ago

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